Another solid week!
- Cleveland Browns +3 (1 unit)
- Cincinnati Bengals under 24 Team Total (.5 units)
- Washington +5.5 (.5 units)
- Sacremento/Charlotte over 231.5 (.75 units)
- Sacremento -1 (.75 units)
- Indiana/Brooklyn over 236.5 (1 unit)
- Toronto +4.5 (.5 units)
- Memphis/Utah over 231.5 (1.25 units)
- Memphis over 117.5 Team Total (.5 units)
- Utah over 114.5 Team Total (.5 units)
NBA breakdown below:
Philly vs Washington
This will be Philly’s 3rd game in 4 nights and their fourth game on the road before heading home. What makes this situation even more interesting is that these two teams will play again Wednesday night in Philadelphia. Embid is currently listed as questionable. Even if he plays, I still like the 76ers.
The Wiz beat the 76ers last season in both meetings. But, the one stat that worries me though is that since 2020 Philly has covered 70% of the time as a road underdog (up to 63% dating back as far as 2018).
With a healthier squad, playing at home off two disappointing losses and playing against a fatigued 76ers team, I think the Wiz show up tonight and possibly win.
Pick: Washington +5.5
Sacramento vs Charlotte
4/5 h2h meetings have gone over. The Hornets have scored 122+ points 3/4 meetings. Both teams rank in the bottom 10 in defensive points allowed. In addition, the Kings rank #1 in offensive 2 point % and #3 in over field goal %.
Pick: Sacramento-1 and over 231.5
Indiana vs Brooklyn
These two teams played Saturday and combined for a whopping 76 three point attempts. I think we see the same volume of shots tonight. H2h the over is 4-1 and in Brooklyns last 5 games the over is 4-1 (3-1 o/u at home this season).
The only way Brooklyn will be able to compete against the Pacers is to out score them. They lack any type of perimeter defense to maintain Haliberton and Hield.
Pick: over 236.5
Toronto vs Atlanta
I don’t like this spot for the Hawks, this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights and coming back home after a three game road trip. Then head back out to play the Knicks. Terrible scheduling for the Hawks.
Pick: Toronto +4.5
Memphis vs Utah
The h2h record between these two teams is unbelievable.
- The over has hit 9 straight meetings
- 13/14 meetings have gone over
In addition the Grizzlies are 5-1 o/u in their last 6 games and have the #1 ranked offense in the league (120 ppg).
This would have been a larger play, had Morant not been listed as questionable.
Pick: over 231.5, Memphis over over 117.5 Team Total, Utah over 114.5 Team Total