NBA: .5 units each:
- Indiana over 117.5 TT
- Detroit +7
- Atlanta -9.5
- Rockets +6.5 and over 232
- Minnesota over 117.5 Team Total
NHL: .5 units each
- Blackhawks ML FP +110
- Avalanche -.5 FP +100
College: . 5 unit:
San Antonio vs Indiana
The Spurs have likely the worst roster in the league. Most of their team have 1-3 years of experience. This team is built to tank. Although, I will be playing the Spurs opponents team totals overs, until the books adjust accordingly. The Pacers have won and covered 4/5 meetings easily. The team total is a better play vs the spread, given how suspiciously low the spread is.
Pick: Indiana over 117.5 TT
Chicago vs Washington
Let me get this straight, the Bulls beat Miami on the road as a 7 point underdog, have won and cover 4/5 meetings against Washington(favored in all those games) and now are a road underdog? Give me the Wiz in this one. Added bonus, Levine and Ball are out. Public is hammering Chicago and the line went from Bulls -1 to +2.
Detroit vs NY
I know its just the beginning of the season, but given that NY played an intense and emotional OT game in Memphis and now are coming back to NY with only 1 days rest. Fatigue might be a factor. The Knicks have dominated the Pistons. They have won and covered 8/9 meetings. But, I like this new look Pistons team, and its a good spot for them to cover and potentially pull off the upset.
Pick: Detroit +7
Orlando vs Atlanta
At first, Atlanta being favored by 9.5 seems quite high. However I think its a bit low. The Magic are banged up. They will be missing 5 players for this game. Also, the Hawks have won and covered 5/6 meetings. And 4/5 of those their wins have been by double digits. Watching the Hawks game against the Rockets, they only shot a paltry 28% from the 3pt. And still won by 10.
Pick: Atlanta -9.5
Memphis vs Houston
This is not a good spot for the Grizzlies. They will be once again missing 4 key players. Not only do they have a thin bench, but their starters played heavy min in their OT win against the Knicks. I will bite and take the Rockets as home underdogs for their home opener.
Pick: Rockets +6.5 and over 232
Utah vs Minnesota
H2h the over has hit in 4 straight meetings. This years Timberwolves team will be an offensive juggernaut. I think we are getting some value on their team total given that they only scored 115 points against the Thunder and shot 28% from the 3pt(10-38) and only had one medicore quarter.
Pick: Minnesota over 117.5 Team Total