Yesterday we went 1-2 for -.7 units. Excited for the return of NBA. In yesterdays newsletter I posted 2 picks I like from Wednesdays card.
- Boston Celtics ml -150 (.75 units)
- LA/ Golden State over 225 (.5 units)
- Golden Knights vs Flames over 6.5 (-110) .5 units
- Predators In Regulation (-110) .5 units
- Flames In Regulation (-105) .5 units
Philly vs Boston
Last season new NBA coaches went 1-7 in their first game and the Celtics fall into this category. However, I think the value on the line is lost as Philly has gone from +4 to +2.5 Also, public is hammering the 76ers at a near 70% clip. I am going to skip the spread and take Boston on the short ml.
Last season Boston won straight up:
- 53-22 as a favorite
- 32-18 as a home favorite
- 34-19 overall at home
Pick: Boston ml -150
LA vs Golden State:
Ring night is always a distraction for the home team. I lean Lakers +6. But, I just don’t trust the Lakers defense to keep the Warriors within the spread. Instead I think the over is a better play. This pre-season the Lakers unveiled their new look offense. And what was apparent is that they will be looking to push the tempo and increase their three point shooting volume. The only way the Lakers can stay competitve tonight against the champs is to push the ball for easy transition points.
In addition, the over is 5-0 in their last five h2h meetings. The Lakers also played to the over last season on the road, going 25–16 o/u
Pick: over 225