Yesterday we went 4-2–1 in the NBA.
Todays NBA Card:
- Philly over 118.5 Team Total (1.25 units)
- Detroit/Indiana over 227.5 (.5 units)
- Houston/Milwaukee over 231 (.5 units)
- Milwaukee over 121.5 Team Total (1 unit)
- Cleveland -2 (.5 units)
- Chicago under 109.5 Team Total (.5 units)
- Dallas -5.5 (.75 units)
- Sacramento +2.5 (.5 units)
NBA breakdown below
San Antonio vs Philly
This will be the Spurs 3rd game in 4 nights. And also their third game in three different cities. Philly going 0-2 and losing their home opener should be some motivation for them. Just like last night, I will skip playing the side in the Spurs game. I continue to believe that the best value on any Spurs game is the over in their opponents team total (until the books adjust). So far its 2-0 this season. The Spurs are a young team. And with most young teams, defense is not a priority.
Play: Philly over 118.5 TT
Detroit vs Indiana
Since 2018, Indiana is 98-62-3 (60%) o/u after a loss and 84-71(55%) as a home team. Both teams are coming into this game, having played last night. This should impact their defensive efforts.
Pick: over 227.5
Houston vs Milwaukee
In their last 4 h2h meetings, the over is 4-0. In those games, the Bucks have scored: 136,141,123,126 points. Given that this will be the Rockets 3rd game in 4 nights and a b2b, the Bucks should have no problem scoring against a young Houston team who have the personnel to score, but care very little about the nuances to defend.
Pick over 231 and Milwaukee over 121.5 TT
This is a terrible spot for the short handed Bulls. This will be their third game in 4 nights and a b2b. The Cavs are an extremely physical team, especially with their 2 big men. The Cavs have the far superior size and guards to win this game. Given their hectic travel schedule and injuries, This is a perfect situational loss for the Bulls.
Pick: Cleveland-2 and under Bulls under 109.5 TT
Memphis vs Dallas
Here is my question… Why would Memphis give a F…k about this game? They are coming off two intense games that were close up to the last minute. The Grizz will be playing their 3 game in 4 nights on a b2b, in a different city. Last season ATS Dallas was:
- 29-18–2 as a home team
- 20-12-2 as a home fav
- 44-25-1 in conference games
- 10-5-1 in division games
- 27-11 after a loss
The betting advantage is with the Mavs.
Pick: Dallas -5.5
LA vs Sacramento
Wow! This is a perfect trap line. The Clips are the darling favorite of the league. They just defeated the Lakers on public television. And are now playing the lowly Kings who lost to the Blazers. And what line do the books set? -2.5 for the Clips. Public bets will be pouring all day into the Clips. In addition, The Clips will be missing Kawai and Wall for this game.
Pick: Sacramento +2.5