Sunday 🏈 and🏀

Yesterday we went 11-7 for +2 units. This includes going 6-2 in the NBA.

Todays full card:

NFL

.5 units each:

• Detroit +6.5
• Jacksonville -3
• Denver +1.5
• Seattle +5
• KC/ San Francisco under 49
• Las Vegas -7

NBA

.5 units each:

• Portland/LA under 224
• Charlotte/Atlanta over 228
• Utah/New Orleans over 230
• Phoenix +2

NBA breakdown below:

Portland vs LA

H2h the under has hit 9/12 games. Including 4/5 games meetings. In their last 6 games(including pre-season) Portland is 6-0-1 o/u. The Lakers offense has been terrible. They are averaging a paltry 103 points on 38% field goal shooting(ranked 30th in the league in both categories.

Pick: under 224

Charlotte vs Atlanta

Charlotte is the exact kind of team Atlanta needs to get their offense going. Similar to the Hawks, the Hornets have an obsession with 3 point shooting, averaging of 35 attempts a game. Last season both teams ranked in the bottom 10(23rd and 28th in the league) in 3pt defense. The historical h2h data is trending towards the under, but I think this line is low based on Atlanta’s first two games. So we are getting a bit of value on this one.

Pick: over 228

Utah vs New Orleans

These two teams are on fire! In their first two games both teams are averaging over 125 points per game. Going to play the over purely the hot start and believing that both teams will look to continue to push the pace.

Pick: over 230

Phoenix vs LA

Clippers playing 3rd game in 4 nights and on a b2b. Without Kawai, they had to trouble closing the Kings. Meanwhile the Suns had the day off and already arrived in LA. Since 2020, Phoenix is 39-12 straigh up (76%) when they have rest advantage vs their opponents. And 18-11 straight up as a road underdog.

Pick: Phoenix +2